// ~->[DNET-1]->~

// File created by someone at MonashUniv using Netica 2.17 on Dec 02, 2005 at 04:08:56.

bnet build_big_dne_2 {
autoupdate = TRUE;
whenchanged = 1133496493;

visual V1 {
	defdispform = BELIEFBARS;
	nodelabeling = TITLE;
	NodeMaxNumEntries = 50;
	nodefont = font {shape= "Arial"; size= 10;};
	linkfont = font {shape= "Arial"; size= 9;};
	windowposn = (22, 22, 1059, 397);
	resolution = 72;
	drawingbounds = (1412, 989);
	showpagebreaks = FALSE;
	usegrid = TRUE;
	gridspace = (6, 6);
	PrinterSetting A {
		margins = (1270, 1270, 1270, 1270);
		landscape = FALSE;
		magnify = 1;
		};
	};

node D {
	kind = DECISION;
	discrete = TRUE;
	states = (millions);
	parents = ();
	functable = 
		   millions;
	title = " Expected Payoff";
	whenchanged = 1133496493;
	belief = (1);
	visual V1 {
		center = (138, 102);
		height = 6;
		};
	};

node InitialDemand {
	kind = NATURE;
	discrete = TRUE;
	measure = RATIO;
	states = (high_1_and_2, low_1_and_2);
	parents = ();
	probs = 
		// high 1 and 2 low 1 and 2  
		  (0.7,         0.3);
	title = "Demand in \nyears 1 and 2";
	whenchanged = 1047449969;
	belief = (0.7, 0.3);
	visual V1 {
		center = (504, 72);
		height = 1;
		};
	};

node InitialDemand1 {
	kind = NATURE;
	discrete = TRUE;
	measure = RATIO;
	states = (high_3_to_10, low_3_to_10);
	parents = (InitialDemand);
	probs = 
		// high 3 to 10 low 3 to 10    // InitialDemand 
		 ((0.8571429,   0.1428571),    // high 1 and 2  
		  (0,           1));           // low 1 and 2   ;
	title = "Demand in \nyears 3 to 10";
	whenchanged = 1047449573;
	belief = (0.6, 0.4);
	visual V1 {
		center = (852, 72);
		height = 2;
		};
	};

node BuildBigOrSmall {
	kind = DECISION;
	discrete = TRUE;
	chance = DETERMIN;
	states = (Build_Big, Build_Small);
	parents = ();
	functable = 
		   Build_Big;
	title = "Build Big\nor Small \ninitially?";
	whenchanged = 1133496366;
	visual V1 {
		center = (126, 234);
		height = 5;
		};
	};

node ExpandOrNot {
	kind = DECISION;
	discrete = TRUE;
	chance = DETERMIN;
	states = (Expand, Do_Not_Expand);
	parents = (BuildBigOrSmall, InitialDemand);
	functable = 
		                     // BuildBigOrSmall InitialDemand 
		 ((Do_Not_Expand,    // Build Big       high 1 and 2  
		   Do_Not_Expand),   // Build Big       low 1 and 2   
		  (Expand,           // Build Small     high 1 and 2  
		   Do_Not_Expand));  // Build Small     low 1 and 2   ;
	title = "Expand Small if initial High Demand?";
	whenchanged = 1133496368;
	belief = (0, 1);
	visual V1 {
		center = (504, 192);
		height = 3;
		link 1 {
			path = ((231, 223), (371, 207));
			};
		};
	};

node profit {
	kind = UTILITY;
	discrete = FALSE;
	measure = RATIO;
	chance = DETERMIN;
	parents = (BuildBigOrSmall, InitialDemand, ExpandOrNot, InitialDemand1);
	functable = 
		                    // BuildBigOrSmall InitialDemand ExpandOrNot   InitialDemand1 
		((((-1000,           // Build Big       high 1 and 2  Expand        high 3 to 10   
		    -1000),          // Build Big       high 1 and 2  Expand        low 3 to 10    
		   (7,               // Build Big       high 1 and 2  Do Not Expand high 3 to 10   
		    -0.2)),          // Build Big       high 1 and 2  Do Not Expand low 3 to 10    
		  ((@imposs,         // Build Big       low 1 and 2   Expand        high 3 to 10   
		    -1000),          // Build Big       low 1 and 2   Expand        low 3 to 10    
		   (@imposs,         // Build Big       low 1 and 2   Do Not Expand high 3 to 10   
		    -2))),           // Build Big       low 1 and 2   Do Not Expand low 3 to 10    
		 (((3,               // Build Small     high 1 and 2  Expand        high 3 to 10   
		    -2.2),           // Build Small     high 1 and 2  Expand        low 3 to 10    
		   (1.6,             // Build Small     high 1 and 2  Do Not Expand high 3 to 10   
		    2.8)),           // Build Small     high 1 and 2  Do Not Expand low 3 to 10    
		  ((@imposs,         // Build Small     low 1 and 2   Expand        high 3 to 10   
		    -1000),          // Build Small     low 1 and 2   Expand        low 3 to 10    
		   (@imposs,         // Build Small     low 1 and 2   Do Not Expand high 3 to 10   
		    2.7))));         // Build Small     low 1 and 2   Do Not Expand low 3 to 10    ;
	title = "Net Profit";
	whenchanged = 1133496064;
	visual V1 {
		center = (852, 234);
		height = 4;
		};
	};
ElimOrder = (InitialDemand1, ExpandOrNot, InitialDemand, BuildBigOrSmall, D);
};